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Win Probability - KC 5, CLE 6 | Mar 19, 2026 | The Best Box Score
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Win Probability
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Friday, March 20, 2026
•
Goodyear Ballpark
•
99°F, Clear
KC
Royals
5
@
6
CLE
Guardians
Final
WIN
Tim Herrin
LOSS
Helcris Olivárez
SAVE
Izaak Martinez
Win Probability
CLE Win
KC Win
Scoring Plays
Bot 1 • CLE
0-1
José Ramírez homers (3) on a fly ball to left field.
EV:
110.0 mph
LA:
33°
Top 2 • KC
1-1
Luca Tresh homers (5) on a fly ball to left center field.
EV:
102.6 mph
💣 379 ft
LA:
25°
Bot 2 • CLE
1-4
Kyle Manzardo homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field. Chase DeLauter scores. Gabriel Arias scores.
EV:
107.3 mph
LA:
28°
Top 3 • KC
2-4
Peyton Wilson singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Stuart Fairchild. Rudy Martin Jr. scores.
EV:
102.7 mph
167 ft
LA:
10°
Top 4 • KC
3-4
Connor Kaiser homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field.
EV:
98.8 mph
💣 392 ft
LA:
27°
Top 5 • KC
4-4
Peyton Wilson homers (3) on a fly ball to left field.
EV:
97.1 mph
LA:
37°
Top 7 • KC
5-4
Connor Scott homers (1) on a fly ball to left field.
EV:
98.0 mph
💣 363 ft
LA:
36°
Bot 7 • CLE
5-5
Bo Naylor out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Erick Torres. David Fry scores.
EV:
97.4 mph
377 ft
LA:
39°
Bot 8 • CLE
5-6
Carter Kieboom singles on a line drive to right fielder Tyler Gentry. Bryce Arnold scores.
EV:
92.9 mph
273 ft
LA:
16°
Game 831846 • Sources: MLB + Statcast